Sunday, October 22, 2006

Tough Choices for a Europe desperately looking for reliable partners

Europe faces tough choices these days. The Economist asks: "Will Europe loose Turkey?", and recent top level talks on energy policy with Russia have produced fears of being one day held hostage through dependence on Russian energy deliveries. There is no particular affection in Western Europe neither for Turkey nor for Russia, but the emotional uproar caused by the discussion whether Turkey should recognize the genocide on the Armenians has been much more important than the one caused by the slow and systematic erosion of the legal prerequisites for a functional market economy and a Western style democracy in Russia.
Therefore, Europeans should ask themselves which one of their most important neighbours is more trustworthy: Turkey or Russia? If European strategies are based on religious
paradigms, the answer would be: Russia, because it is a country with a Christian tradition. If European strategies are based on geographical and geo-strategical assumptions, then the accent should be on a strong and sustainable cooperation between the countries around the Mediterranean, the "mare nostrum" as the Romans used to call it. To achieve political stability and sustainable economic growth in this
region, full cooperation of Turkey is needed. Turkey is the only country in the Eastern basin of the Mediterranean with a functional relationship to Israel despite it's Islamic background and Turkey is one of the most important motors of political innovation and transformation in the islamic world. The most important argument for a stable and trustful relationship between Europe and Turkey is the simple fact that Turkey is not and will never be a superpower and therefore does not represent a threat to Europe.
Furthermore, a Turkey oriented toward Western Europe without regret could come to the conclusion that it should reach out in a friendly gesture to it's neighbours in the East, Georgia and Armenia, both in need of the development of stable and fruitful relationships on the Southern slopes of the Caucasus.

What is your opininion on Europe's tough choices?

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